Predicting COVID-19 in Oregon: it’s all in the numbers

Available in Spanish Peter Graven isn’t a fortune-teller, but he tries his best to predict the future. Graven, director of Oregon Health & Science University’s (OHSU) Office of Advanced Analytics, has helped people in Oregon make sense of the pandemic with  regular forecasts that began in March 2020. As complex as COVID-19 data collection and […]

Newest COVID-19 modeling report shows sharply higher increases in daily cases and hospitalizations

On July 30, OHA released its latest COVID-19 forecast, which projected sharply higher COVID-19 associated hospitalizations and daily cases through Aug. 17.   According to the model, the effective reproduction rate, meaning the expected number of secondary cases that a single case generates, was estimated at 1.58 through July 14, which is more than double the 0.74 reported through mid-June.   If transmission remains […]

New modeling shows with precautions in place, we can save many lives

On April 30, Governor Kate Brown gave an update on the status of COVID-19 in Oregon. The Governor was joined by Dr. Peter Graven, Lead Data Scientist, Oregon Health & Science University; Mariana Robins, a 15-year old with long-haul COVID-19 symptoms. Governor Brown noted that we have seen cases increase 20% or more for the […]

COVID-19 in Oregon: A moment of promise and peril

On April 23, Governor Kate Brown was joined by Director of the Oregon Health Authority Patrick Allen and State Health Officer and State Epidemiologist Dr. Dean Sidelinger to provide an update on the COVID-19 pandemic in Oregon. At this moment, Director Allen said, Oregon faces both “promise and peril.” “The COVID-19 virus is surging and […]